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usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l - Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity

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Chronological Thread  
  • From: Elliot Lipeles <lipeles AT hep.upenn.edu>
  • To: Michael Tuts <tuts AT pmtuts.net>
  • Cc: "Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l AT lists.bnl.gov" <Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l AT lists.bnl.gov>
  • Subject: Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity
  • Date: Wed, 17 Jul 2019 11:01:22 -0400


Hi all,

I reworked the numbers carefully (at bottom is my spreadsheet with notes)

The first numbers  (2/3 TP + 1/3 RTM + 5/6 TFM) are ~ right the exact numbers are ( 70% TP + 83% TFM + 31% RTM) these are % of originally planned US contribution. The cost savings is $1615k.

The second numbers (1/3 TP + 2/3 TFM + 0 RTM)  are approximately right, exact numbers are (40% TP + 67% TFM + 0% RTM) with a cost savings of $1530k.  (a bit different than what I had in the PEP because I had a typo and the reduction in the RTM cost wasn't included).

Let me know if you have any questions,
Elliot

TPTFMRTMComment
US Fraction0.55110.24
Pre-production+production costs4,200,8431,162,728217,1932017 dollars!
International Fraction0.44900.761- US fraction
Reduce internation by 1/6th ~ 17%TPTFMRTMTotal
US fraction of original total still in US0.380.830.075/6-International fraction
Factor US production is reduced by0.700.830.31above/original us fraction
Scope Cost Saved1270672.41193788.00150828.471615288.89above*original us cost
Reduce internation by 1/3rd ~ 33.3%TPTFMRTMTotal
US fraction of original total still in US0.220.670.00
2/3-International fraction (RTM just zeroed)
US reduction fraction0.400.670.00above/original us fraction
Scope Cost Saved2541344.83387576.00217193.003146113.83above*original us cost
incremental saving of second cut1530824.94
Escallation 2017 to 20241.229873865
if all escalated, but parts ~75% of cost not escallated


On Tue, Jul 16, 2019 at 6:58 PM Michael Tuts <tuts AT pmtuts.net> wrote:
Hi Hal,

I looking at your sheet when updating the info for the PEP, I think there are a number of date errors?

Descoping tab:

* What I had previously updated when I asked the L2s to update the PEP was for Muon dates for reducing sMDTs of 12/2021, 5/2022, 9/2022, 1/2023 vs what you show as 12/2019, 5/2019(!), 9/2019(!), 1/2019(!).  The other Muon dates are also clearly wrong 6/2019 and 3/2019.
* Is the LAr decision date really 9/2019?
* Elliot has supplied me with $1,600 cost for 2/3 TP + 1/3 RTM + 5/6 TFM -- you have a different cost and a different number of RTM boards (2/3) , so I am wondering which is correct
* Also he gave me $1,300 cost for 1/3 TP + 0 RTM + 2/3 TFM vs yours which shows 1/3 TP +  1/3 RTM + 2/3 TFM -- which is correct?

Cheers, Mike

-----Original Message-----
From: Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l <usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l-bounces AT lists.bnl.gov> On Behalf Of Hal Evans
Sent: Tuesday, July 16, 2019 9:21 AM
To: Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l AT lists.bnl.gov
Subject: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity

Hi all,

I've compiled all of your scope contingency/opportunity numbers into the attached table. I made a few minor modifications.

1. Trigger: I included an additional Trigger Opportunity - updating the gFEX algorithms for Phase-2.

2. Opportunity Dates: some of these were given only at the granularity of a year. I updated those to MMM-YY format, choosing a date arbitrarily.

Please have a look and let me know if I've made any mistakes.

Having this all compiled together highlights the fact that we are very thin on Physics impact/motivation for the contingency/opportunities. I realize that this will be difficult, but we should really include some sort of discussion of how these decisions could affect ATLAS physics.
This can be hand-wavy (but obviously the more quantitative the better).
The point is to demonstrate that we've thought about this NSF requirement for scope contingency/opportunity.

Please try to get me some input on this by Thursday.

Thanks  -  Hal

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