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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity
- From: Elliot Lipeles <lipeles AT hep.upenn.edu>
- To: Michael Tuts <tuts AT pmtuts.net>
- Cc: "Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l AT lists.bnl.gov" <Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l AT lists.bnl.gov>
- Subject: Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity
- Date: Wed, 17 Jul 2019 11:01:22 -0400
Hi all,
I reworked the numbers carefully (at bottom is my spreadsheet with notes)
The first numbers (2/3 TP + 1/3 RTM + 5/6 TFM) are ~ right the exact numbers are ( 70% TP + 83% TFM + 31% RTM) these are % of originally planned US contribution. The cost savings is $1615k.
The second numbers (1/3 TP + 2/3 TFM + 0 RTM) are approximately right, exact numbers are (40% TP + 67% TFM + 0% RTM) with a cost savings of $1530k. (a bit different than what I had in the PEP because I had a typo and the reduction in the RTM cost wasn't included).
Let me know if you have any questions,
Elliot
TP | TFM | RTM | Comment | ||
US Fraction | 0.551 | 1 | 0.24 | ||
Pre-production+production costs | 4,200,843 | 1,162,728 | 217,193 | 2017 dollars! | |
International Fraction | 0.449 | 0 | 0.76 | 1- US fraction | |
Reduce internation by 1/6th ~ 17% | TP | TFM | RTM | Total | |
US fraction of original total still in US | 0.38 | 0.83 | 0.07 | 5/6-International fraction | |
Factor US production is reduced by | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | above/original us fraction | |
Scope Cost Saved | 1270672.41 | 193788.00 | 150828.47 | 1615288.89 | above*original us cost |
Reduce internation by 1/3rd ~ 33.3% | TP | TFM | RTM | Total | |
US fraction of original total still in US | 0.22 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 2/3-International fraction (RTM just zeroed) | |
US reduction fraction | 0.40 | 0.67 | 0.00 | above/original us fraction | |
Scope Cost Saved | 2541344.83 | 387576.00 | 217193.00 | 3146113.83 | above*original us cost |
incremental saving of second cut | 1530824.94 | ||||
Escallation 2017 to 2024 | 1.229873865 | if all escalated, but parts ~75% of cost not escallated |
On Tue, Jul 16, 2019 at 6:58 PM Michael Tuts <tuts AT pmtuts.net> wrote:
Hi Hal,
I looking at your sheet when updating the info for the PEP, I think there are a number of date errors?
Descoping tab:
* What I had previously updated when I asked the L2s to update the PEP was for Muon dates for reducing sMDTs of 12/2021, 5/2022, 9/2022, 1/2023 vs what you show as 12/2019, 5/2019(!), 9/2019(!), 1/2019(!). The other Muon dates are also clearly wrong 6/2019 and 3/2019.
* Is the LAr decision date really 9/2019?
* Elliot has supplied me with $1,600 cost for 2/3 TP + 1/3 RTM + 5/6 TFM -- you have a different cost and a different number of RTM boards (2/3) , so I am wondering which is correct
* Also he gave me $1,300 cost for 1/3 TP + 0 RTM + 2/3 TFM vs yours which shows 1/3 TP + 1/3 RTM + 2/3 TFM -- which is correct?
Cheers, Mike
-----Original Message-----
From: Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l <usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l-bounces AT lists.bnl.gov> On Behalf Of Hal Evans
Sent: Tuesday, July 16, 2019 9:21 AM
To: Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l AT lists.bnl.gov
Subject: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity
Hi all,
I've compiled all of your scope contingency/opportunity numbers into the attached table. I made a few minor modifications.
1. Trigger: I included an additional Trigger Opportunity - updating the gFEX algorithms for Phase-2.
2. Opportunity Dates: some of these were given only at the granularity of a year. I updated those to MMM-YY format, choosing a date arbitrarily.
Please have a look and let me know if I've made any mistakes.
Having this all compiled together highlights the fact that we are very thin on Physics impact/motivation for the contingency/opportunities. I realize that this will be difficult, but we should really include some sort of discussion of how these decisions could affect ATLAS physics.
This can be hand-wavy (but obviously the more quantitative the better).
The point is to demonstrate that we've thought about this NSF requirement for scope contingency/opportunity.
Please try to get me some input on this by Thursday.
Thanks - Hal
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Hal Evans hgevans AT indiana.edu
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-
[Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Hal Evans, 07/16/2019
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity, Elliot Lipeles, 07/16/2019
-
Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Michael Tuts, 07/16/2019
-
Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Hal Evans, 07/17/2019
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity, Michael Tuts, 07/17/2019
-
Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Elliot Lipeles, 07/17/2019
-
Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Hal Evans, 07/17/2019
-
Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Elliot Lipeles, 07/17/2019
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity, Hal Evans, 07/17/2019
-
Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Elliot Lipeles, 07/17/2019
-
Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Hal Evans, 07/17/2019
-
Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] scope contingency/opportunity,
Hal Evans, 07/17/2019
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