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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary
- From: John Parsons <parsons AT nevis.columbia.edu>
- To: Gustaaf Brooijmans <gusbroo AT nevis.columbia.edu>, "Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l AT lists.bnl.gov" <Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l AT lists.bnl.gov>
- Subject: Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary
- Date: Wed, 4 Aug 2021 22:02:43 -0400
Hi Gustaaf, all,
I had a quick glance through your posted slides. Given all the headlines about the ongoing surge due to the delta-variant, and how much worse it might still get in the US (which our reviewers will certainly have also seen), I would suggest to be a bit more cautious in the outlook for this fall/winter. While the slides seemed fine at the DR only 6 weeks ago, by this pint in time we might risk coming across as overly optimistic, which could trigger a discussion about whether we are considering all the COVID risks. I give a few concrete suggestions below.
Regards,
John
p. 3 - "We have decent control now over operating our labs"; consider adding "and hope that the ongoing surge does not lead to further restrictions"
p. 26 - "While access to our labs is increasingly reliable, and vaccination makes another wave in Fall unlikely, ..." - we are already in the midst of another wave, worse (in many states) that in the past. AConsider change to "and vaccination hopefully makes another wave of lab shutdowns in Fall unlikely..."
p. 31 - "rising lab efficiency"; consider adding "which hopefully continues despite ongoing Delta-variant surge"
p. 33 - "high university vaccination rates mean this will now hopefully remain"; consider adding "despite challenges of current surge in cases"
p. 36 - "We believe new lockdowns are unlikely," ; consider changing to "hopefully unlikely, despite ongoing surge in cases"
p. 37 - add bullet that current surge is a concern, and we hope it does not lead to further disruptions
On 8/4/21 11:07 AM, Gustaaf Brooijmans wrote:
Hi,
On the no covid summary sheet the float table has base floats both with and without the COVID BCPs. I would suggest to show both.
Best,
Gustaaf
On 8/4/21 4:20 PM, John Parsons wrote:
What about the float numbers? Do we show both with/without COVID? For LAr, we have lost close to a year in float due to COVID. If I show only the "no COVID" float, it will appear very misleading??
John
On 8/4/21 7:47 AM, Gustaaf Brooijmans wrote:
Hello all,
Attached is an updated contingency simulation summary sheet. Note that the file now has two sheets: one where the base numbers include the covid BCPs, and one where they don't. Based on the feedback from the director's review, I think we should show the numbers *without* the covid BCPs by default, and maybe have the others in back-up.
I also attach the sheet with all the gory details, for your own perusal.
Best,
Gustaaf
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary
, (continued)
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary,
Gustaaf Brooijmans, 08/04/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary,
John Parsons, 08/04/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary,
John Parsons, 08/04/2021
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary, Michael Tuts, 08/04/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] [External] Re: Updated contingency simulation summary,
Evans, Harold G., 08/04/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] [External] Re: Updated contingency simulation summary,
Thomas Schwarz, 08/04/2021
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] [External] Re: Updated contingency simulation summary, John Parsons, 08/04/2021
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] [External] Re: Updated contingency simulation summary, Michael Tuts, 08/04/2021
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] [External] Re: Updated contingency simulation summary, David W Miller, 08/04/2021
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] [External] Re: Updated contingency simulation summary, Mark Oreglia, 08/04/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] [External] Re: Updated contingency simulation summary,
Thomas Schwarz, 08/04/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary,
John Parsons, 08/04/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary,
John Parsons, 08/04/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary,
John Parsons, 08/04/2021
- Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary, Gustaaf Brooijmans, 08/05/2021
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Re: [Usatlas-hllhc-l2deputymgmt-nsf-l] Updated contingency simulation summary,
Gustaaf Brooijmans, 08/04/2021
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